Prediction of combined cycle power plant electrical output power using machine learning regression algorithms
نویسندگان
چکیده
In order to monitor the performance and related efficiency of a combined cycle power plant (CCPP), in addition best utilization its output, it is vital predict full load electrical output. this paper, output CCPP was predicted employing practically efficient machine learning algorithms, including linear regression, ridge lasso elastic net random forest gradient boost regression. The original data came from an actual confidential plant, which working on for 6 years, with four major features: ambient temperature, relative humidity, atmospheric pressure, exhaust vacuum, one target (electrical per hour). Different regression measures were used, R2 (coefficient determination), MAE (Mean Absolute Error), MSE Squared RMSE (Root Mean MAPE Percentage Error). Research results revealed that model outperformed other models without using dimensionality reduction technique (PCA) highest 0.912 0.872, respectively, had lowest 0.872 % 1.039 %, respectively. Moreover, prediction dropped slightly after almost all algorithms used. novelty work summarized predicting based few features simpler than reported deep neural networks combined. That means lower cost less complicated procedure as each, however, resulting accepted according evaluation metrics
منابع مشابه
Photovoltaic power plant power output prediction using fuzzy rules
Photovoltaic Power Plants (PVPP) are classified as a power energy sources with non-stabile supply of electric energy. It is necessary to back up power energy from PVPP for stabile electric network operation. We can set an optimal value of back up power energy with using variety of prediction models and methods for PVPP Power output prediction. Fuzzy classifiers and fuzzy rules can be informally...
متن کاملSupervised Learning of Photovoltaic Power Plant Output Prediction Models
This article presents an application of evolutionary fuzzy rules to the modeling and prediction of power output of a real-world Photovoltaic Power Plant (PVPP). The method is compared to artificial neural networks and support vector regression that were also used to build predictors in order to analyse a time-series like data describing the production of the PVPP. The models of the PVPP are cre...
متن کاملTechnical Analysis of Conversion of A Steam Power Plant to Combined Cycle, Using Two Types of Heavy Duty Gas Turbines
Due to long life of steam power plants in Iran, transformation of steam cycles to combined cycles is under consideration. Bandar-Abbas steam power plant with capacity of 320 MW has been analyzed in this work. This old plant is located near the harbor city of Bandar-Abbas at southern Iran. Method of exergy analysis is used to study the current and the repowered systems. Optimum state of the repo...
متن کاملThe Impact of Safety Programs on Accident Indicators in a combined cycle power plant
Background: The effectiveness of safety systems is critical to the realization of their goals. Thereششfore, this study was conducted to investigate the role of safety management systems on accidents and the status of safety performance indicators in a combined cycle power plant in 2011. Materials and Methods: This descriptive-analytical research was carried out in two stages in all Yazd Combin...
متن کاملRisk Assessment of Health Safety and Environmental of Samangan Combined Cycle Power Plant using FMEA&SAW Integrated Model
A power plant can be considered a workplace with a high level of risk.For this reason in order to ensure sustainable Performance in Power Plants risk management is essential. In this study the AHP method for Classification of risks And the FMEA method for risk Rating and SAW method was used to rank the risks. Finally, the ranking was done by FMEA&SAW method.According to the result s of the AHP...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['1729-3774', '1729-4061']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2021.245663